New England Patriots

Patriots Predictions

How we predict New England will fare against Houston
OFFENSE Patriots Texans
Passing Yards260 yds The Patriots' excellent passing offense is matched by the Texans
Excellent
Passing
VS
Excellent
Passing Defense
Rushing Yards101 yds The Patriots' average rushing offense won't be a factor against the Texans
Average
Rushing
VS
Good
Rushing Defense
Points28 pts The Patriots' excellent point scoring may be a factor against the Texans
Excellent
Scoring Ability
VS
Good
Overall Defense
Red Zone61% The Patriots' excellent red zone offense will dominate the Texans
Excellent
Red Zone Offense
VS
Average
Red Zone Defense
Touchdowns3 TDs The Patriots' excellent touchdown scoring will dominate the Texans
Excellent
TD Scoring
VS
Average
TD Defense
DEFENSE
Fumbles Caused1 fumble The Patriots' average skill at forcing fumbles should be a factor against the Texans
Average
Fumble Forcing
VS
Below Average
Ball Security
Interceptions1 int The Patriots' average interception ability should be a factor against the Texans
Average
Picking
VS
Below Average
Accuracy
Sacks2 sacks The Patriots' good sacking ability should be a factor against the Texans
Good
Pass Rush
VS
Average
Offensive Line
Houston Texans

Texans Predictions

How we predict Houston will fare against New England
OFFENSE Texans Patriots
Passing Yards197 yds The Texans' poor passing offense won't be a factor against the Patriots
Poor
Passing
VS
Average
Passing Defense
Rushing Yards91 yds The Texans' average rushing offense won't be a factor against the Patriots
Average
Rushing
VS
Excellent
Rushing Defense
Points13 pts The Texans' below average point scoring won't be a factor against the Patriots
Below Average
Scoring Ability
VS
Excellent
Overall Defense
Red Zone49% The Texans' below average red zone offense won't be a factor against the Patriots
Below Average
Red Zone Offense
VS
Average
Red Zone Defense
Touchdowns1 TD The Texans' poor touchdown scoring won't be a factor against the Patriots
Poor
TD Scoring
VS
Excellent
TD Defense
DEFENSE
Fumbles Caused1 fumble The Texans' below average skill at forcing fumbles won't be a factor against the Patriots
Below Average
Fumble Forcing
VS
Average
Ball Security
Interceptions0 ints The Texans' good interception ability won't be a factor against the Patriots
Good
Picking
VS
Excellent
Accuracy
Sacks2 sacks The Texans' average sacking ability may be a factor against the Patriots
Average
Pass Rush
VS
Average
Offensive Line

OFFENSE

Whose offense is better when it counts?

passing

#2 Patriots
9.5
#32 Texans
5.2
Great passing by the Patriots:
442 yds Feb 5, 2017 at Falcons
374 yds Jan 22, 2017 vs Steelers
401 yds Dec 12, 2016 vs Ravens

rushing

#23 Patriots
6.6
#10 Texans
7.0
Great rushing by the Texans:
105 yds Jan 14, 2017 at Patriots
124 yds Nov 21, 2016 at Raiders
129 yds Sep 11, 2016 vs Bears

red zone performance

#2 Patriots
9.9
#33 Texans
5.7
Great red zone performance by the Patriots:
67% Feb 5, 2017 at Falcons
75% Oct 30, 2016 at Bills
100% Oct 23, 2016 at Steelers

scoring points

#2 Patriots
9.2
#33 Texans
5.5
High points scored by the Patriots:
34 pts Feb 5, 2017 at Falcons
36 pts Jan 22, 2017 vs Steelers
27 pts Oct 23, 2016 at Steelers

Game History

See the previous matchups
Winner
Prediction
IronRank Before
IronRank After
Jan 14, 2017 Divisional
New England Patriots
vs
Houston Texans
3416
2613
19291446
19351439
Sep 22, 2016 Week 3
New England Patriots
vs
Houston Texans
270
2419
16961529
17411484
Dec 13, 2015 Week 14
Houston Texans
vs
New England Patriots
627
2126
15771724
15431758

Iron Rank Over Time

See how our Iron Rank changes with each game

Comments

Showing 3 comments.
All things being equal, you are correct but in this situation and frequently all things are not equal or unchanged. There is such as thing as an educated guess which is really his predictions should be made. You consider past stats if applicable but you don't necessarily always base your prediction on them. Houston has new personnel in almost every skill position on offense. When there is that much change, every practice and especially every game brings improvement. The changes were not just minor upgrades but significant upgrades which renders old stats anywhere from unreliable to obsolete so to base predictions on these "outdated stats" is not wise. Secondly, there is a new QB for the Patriots which has an impact on the outcome. Last of all, O'Brien has been improving as an NFL coach as mentioned by several NFL analysts. Combine all these and other more minor factors and I believe it's safe to say that "old stats" are out the window. If the Patriots win, I believe it will be because of turnovers which are always difficult to precisely predict. The Texans have the upper hand all things considered but it's not that large of a gap that things can't swing in the Pats favor. New England with bring it and the crowd will be into it so Houston has its work cut out for sure.
You realize that the only legitimate way to make predictions is using "old stats," right? Anything else is guessing and wishing.
How can you make predictions using old stats? If the Patriots beat the Texans with a third string quarterback against that defense it would be hard to believe,
comments powered by Disqus