New England Patriots

Patriots Predictions

How we predict New England will fare against Houston
OFFENSE Patriots Texans
Passing Yards257 yds The Patriots' excellent passing offense will dominate the Texans
Excellent
Passing
VS
Average
Passing Defense
Rushing Yards113 yds The Patriots' average rushing offense is matched by the Texans
Average
Rushing
VS
Average
Rushing Defense
Points27 pts The Patriots' excellent point scoring will dominate the Texans
Excellent
Scoring Ability
VS
Below Average
Overall Defense
Red Zone60% The Patriots' excellent red zone offense will dominate the Texans
Excellent
Red Zone Offense
VS
Below Average
Red Zone Defense
Touchdowns3 TDs The Patriots' good touchdown scoring may be a factor against the Texans
Good
TD Scoring
VS
Below Average
TD Defense
DEFENSE
Fumbles Caused1 fumble The Patriots' average skill at forcing fumbles should be a factor against the Texans
Average
Fumble Forcing
VS
Below Average
Ball Security
Interceptions1 int The Patriots' average interception ability should be a factor against the Texans
Average
Picking
VS
Below Average
Accuracy
Sacks3 sacks The Patriots' average sacking ability should be a factor against the Texans
Average
Pass Rush
VS
Poor
Offensive Line
Houston Texans

Texans Predictions

How we predict Houston will fare against New England
OFFENSE Texans Patriots
Passing Yards229 yds The Texans' below average passing offense may be a factor against the Patriots
Below Average
Passing
VS
Poor
Passing Defense
Rushing Yards117 yds The Texans' excellent rushing offense will dominate the Patriots
Excellent
Rushing
VS
Average
Rushing Defense
Points18 pts The Texans' below average point scoring won't be a factor against the Patriots
Below Average
Scoring Ability
VS
Good
Overall Defense
Red Zone50% The Texans' below average red zone offense won't be a factor against the Patriots
Below Average
Red Zone Offense
VS
Good
Red Zone Defense
Touchdowns2 TDs The Texans' average touchdown scoring is matched by the Patriots
Average
TD Scoring
VS
Average
TD Defense
DEFENSE
Fumbles Caused1 fumble The Texans' average skill at forcing fumbles won't be a factor against the Patriots
Average
Fumble Forcing
VS
Good
Ball Security
Interceptions0 ints The Texans' below average interception ability won't be a factor against the Patriots
Below Average
Picking
VS
Good
Accuracy
Sacks2 sacks The Texans' below average sacking ability won't be a factor against the Patriots
Below Average
Pass Rush
VS
Average
Offensive Line

OFFENSE

Whose offense is better when it counts?

passing

#5 Patriots
9.0
#30 Texans
5.6
Great passing by the Patriots:
500 yds Feb 4, 2018 vs Eagles
283 yds Dec 17, 2017 at Steelers
436 yds Sep 17, 2017 at Saints

rushing

#15 Patriots
8.0
#4 Texans
9.7
Great rushing by the Texans:
148 yds Sep 16, 2018 at Titans
144 yds Oct 8, 2017 vs Chiefs
173 yds Oct 1, 2017 vs Titans

red zone performance

#2 Patriots
9.9
#29 Texans
5.6
Great red zone performance by the Patriots:
75% Jan 21, 2018 vs Jaguars
67% Dec 24, 2017 vs Bills
67% Nov 19, 2017 at Raiders

scoring points

#4 Patriots
9.3
#26 Texans
5.8
High points scored by the Patriots:
33 pts Feb 4, 2018 vs Eagles
27 pts Dec 17, 2017 at Steelers
36 pts Sep 17, 2017 at Saints

Game History

See the previous matchups
Winner
Prediction
IronRank Before
IronRank After
Sep 9, 2018 Week 1
New England Patriots
vs
Houston Texans
2720
2818
17211397
17151403
Sep 24, 2017 Week 3
New England Patriots
vs
Houston Texans
3633
2617
17451435
17321448
Jan 14, 2017 Divisional
New England Patriots
vs
Houston Texans
3416
2613
19291446
19351439

Iron Rank Over Time

See how our Iron Rank changes with each game

Comments

Showing 3 comments.
All things being equal, you are correct but in this situation and frequently all things are not equal or unchanged. There is such as thing as an educated guess which is really his predictions should be made. You consider past stats if applicable but you don't necessarily always base your prediction on them. Houston has new personnel in almost every skill position on offense. When there is that much change, every practice and especially every game brings improvement. The changes were not just minor upgrades but significant upgrades which renders old stats anywhere from unreliable to obsolete so to base predictions on these "outdated stats" is not wise. Secondly, there is a new QB for the Patriots which has an impact on the outcome. Last of all, O'Brien has been improving as an NFL coach as mentioned by several NFL analysts. Combine all these and other more minor factors and I believe it's safe to say that "old stats" are out the window. If the Patriots win, I believe it will be because of turnovers which are always difficult to precisely predict. The Texans have the upper hand all things considered but it's not that large of a gap that things can't swing in the Pats favor. New England with bring it and the crowd will be into it so Houston has its work cut out for sure.
You realize that the only legitimate way to make predictions is using "old stats," right? Anything else is guessing and wishing.
How can you make predictions using old stats? If the Patriots beat the Texans with a third string quarterback against that defense it would be hard to believe,
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